A Strategic Timeout: Putin Pledges 12 Months of Nuclear Status Quo

President Vladimir Putin has called a strategic timeout in the post-treaty nuclear landscape, pledging that Russia will maintain the status quo by voluntarily adhering to the expired New START limits for 12 months. The move is intended to provide a period of stability and assessment.
Speaking at a Security Council meeting, Putin said this timeout was necessary to avoid a “further strategic arms race” and to ensure a level of predictability. This means Russia will keep its deployed nuclear warheads at or below the 1,550 mark established by the former treaty.
This timeout is not unconditional. Putin explicitly stated that its viability depends on the United States also pausing any potential expansion of its arsenal. He warned against any American actions that could “disrupt the existing balance,” making reciprocity a key component of the policy.
The Russian leader also hopes this period can be used for productive dialogue. He suggested that mutual restraint could help create a better atmosphere for a “substantive strategic dialogue,” potentially breaking the current impasse in U.S.-Russia relations.
After the 12-month period, the timeout will end. At that point, Putin said, Russia will conduct an “analysis of the situation” and make a new decision on its nuclear posture, making the U.S. response during this year critically important.